Thursday, February 22, 2024

GOP expected to take House majority and three Senate seats

Real Clear Politics issued its final projection of midterm results on election eve last night and the outlook looks promising for conservatives.

RCP has the GOP holding 53 Senate seats, a gain of three, when the votes are all counted and picking up at least 15 in the House races to take their total to 227 there, with Democrats winning 174.

Thirty-four races for Congress are still considered toss-ups but it is becoming increasingly clear that Republicans have the momentum, despite Democrats making a small comeback in the closing stages. 

In Pennsylvania’s pivotal and highly publicized contest, Republican Mehmet “Dr. Oz” is leading Democrat John Fetterman by just 0.1 points in the Keystone State’s Senate race. 

Herschel Walker has edged ahead of Raphael Warnock by 0.4 percent in Georgia, suggesting that a runoff election on December 6 is likely. 

Arizona and New Hampshire Senate races are also tight, showing the candidates separated by just a single point.

If the GOP is able to flip a number of seats in New York and Virginia as expected, it could spell big trouble for the Democrats and Joe Biden, whose disapproval rating now stands at 57%, the worst of his presidency, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll taken Monday.

Numerous surveys conducted recently have shown another promising trend, with significant numbers of white suburban women, black voters and Latinos — three demographics that have traditionally voted Democrat — all shifting to the Republican side.

It would seem that conservatives are not the only demographic fed up with rising prices, surging violence across the country and a condescending pathological liar of a president who can’t remember what state he’s in and struggles to form a complete sentence, even with the help of a teleprompter.

All 435 House seats are up for grabs, as are 35 U.S. Senate seats and 36 governorships. Republicans need to pick up five seats to take a majority in the House and just one to control the Senate. Nonpartisan election forecasters and a number of polls in addition to the one just released by RCP suggest Republicans have a very strong chance of doing exactly that. 

More than 40 million people have already voted early, surpassing the 39 million in 2018, suggesting a record turnout taking place today. 

Now it’s your turn to hop on the Big Red Wave.