Poll: Harris more popular than Biden, still trailing Trump in 5 swing states
A new poll of five swing states shows Vice President Kamala Harris trails Donald Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania, with the two tied in Wisconsin.
But voters in these states support Harris, age 59, by 3 or more points than Biden, whose age and cognitive capacity had reduced voter enthusiasm.
“Harris has recovered a portion of the vote for the Democrats on the presidential ticket since the fallout after the June 27 debate,” Executive Director of Emerson College Polling Spencer Kimball said. “Harris’ numbers now reflect similar support levels to those of Biden back in March.”
The percentage of undecided voters in each state is enough to tip the votes.
Arizona shows the largest discrepancy, with 49% supporting Trump versus 44% supporting Harris 44%. However, 7% are still undecided.
In Georgia, Trump leads with 48% while Harris garners 46% of voter support.
While Trump and Harris are close in Michigan at 46%-45%, the state has the largest percentage of undecided voters among those polled, 9%.
Pennsylvania results show Trump ahead of Harris 48%-46%.
In Wisconsin, a major swing state which hosted the Republican National Convention last week and Harris’ first campaign rally Tuesday, Trump and Harris are tied at 47% each.
Nevada and North Carolina were not included among the swing states polled.
Male voters support Trump around 10 percentage points more than female voters in every state, with male support in the mid-50s and female support in the low or mid-40s.
Young voters in particular have become more enthused about the Democratic party now that a younger, female, minority candidate is running.
“Young voters have shifted toward Harris: her support compared to Biden increased by 16 points in Arizona, 8 in Georgia, 5 in Michigan, 11 in Pennsylvania, and 1 in Wisconsin earlier polling this month,” said Kimball.
More than 75% of voters polled in each state think Harris should be nominated as the Democrat’s candidate in August.
The poll was conducted July 22-23. The sample size for Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan respondents was 800 per state with a margin of error +/-3.4%. The sample size in Pennsylvania was 850, and Wisconsin’s was 845. Both had a +/-3.3% margin of error.
