Republicans Must Master Turnout In Advance Of Next Year

The math is not difficult if you actually understand it. Clearly, almost nobody does.

REPs will need a higher than usual midterm turnout to hold their majorities.

The economy is not enough for them to overcome the structural disadvantage they have in lower turnout elections, i.e. midterms and specials.

You know, like the ones they have recently lost or barely won, which they should’ve won easily (see Pennsylvania and Florida).

There simply aren’t enough persuadable higher propensity voters. They will need to enlarge the electorate significantly, given they trailed Trump by about 4 pts among 2/2 voters from 2024/2022.

In 2022, Republicans even lost voters who “somewhat” disapproved of Biden because higher income, higher educated voters aren’t as negatively impacted by the inflation crisis as others who didn’t even bother to vote.

Something else, or more accurately a collection of something else(s), motivated two very important and diverse groups to vote, and to vote for Trump, but not other Republicans.

Note this was the case even when he was on the ballot, and before all of this.

Repeatedly dismissing, insulting or worse still attacking, these very voters is not going to get them to vote for them now, if they vote at all.

No matter how loud the seals clap.