
The American Birth Rate hit an ALL-TIME LOW last year
Last week, the Center for Disease Control (CDC) released some concerning data about the birth rate in United States of America last year. In 2024, the general fertility rate for American women aged 15-44 declined to 53.8 births per 1,000 women, which is an all-time low. Most of this decline between 2023 to 2024 occurred among women under age 30—with the birth rate declining by 3% for American women between ages 20-24 and by 2% for women between 25 and 29 years old.
This data shows that America’s birth rate is now reaching crisis levels demographically. America’s birth rate is now officially below 1.6 births per woman.
Demographers commonly claim that the replacement birth rate (net-zero population growth) for a society is roughly 2.1 births per woman. Any nation with a birth rate below 2.1 children per woman is facing the existential threat of demographic collapse in the coming decades.
Heading into the second half of this decade (i.e. the 2020s), the United States is roughly 25% below a replacement birth rate—with current trends showing an even lower birth rate in the future for our nation.
Even more concerning, the collapse in the America’s fertility rate has occurred quite suddenly. Just in the last 60 years, America’s fertility rate has dropped nearly 50% based on data from the World Bank.
However, the decline in America’s birth rate has become a pressing issue in the past 20 years especially. In the early 2000s, the American birth rate was near replacement levels. But over the course of the last 20 years, American women and families have largely postponed childbirth to later in life (i.e. in their 30s and 40s) or have abstained from childbirth all-together for a variety of reasons.
Now, some left-leaning demographers and corporatists may claim that immigration is the solution to the shrinking of America’s native-born population. However, mass immigration has created a whole of other issues for the United States in terms of crime, suppressing wages, and straining public resources.
One of the best articles that I recently discovered on this topic came from writer Briana Lyman on the The Federalist blog. Lyman fairly points out that immigration is and has been a failed solution to America’s demographic winter over the past fifty years:
One of the most obvious results of a shrinking population is a shrinking workforce. But a workforce is rather interchangeable. A country can always import labor — the United States can import labor for the foreseeable future if there is a shortage of workers. But what a country cannot import is a culture, a heritage, a set of particular values that will help the republic endure.
America simply cannot outsource her future to people from other places. And it’s not about “xenophobia” or whatever other “phobia” the left will throw at Americans. A country — any country — that replaces its population with people from somewhere else because its own people will not reproduce becomes something else entirely. If we don’t make more Americans, we won’t have any more left. And without Americans, there will be no America.
As America’s birth rate continues to plummet, our nation’s political establishment continues to support mass immigration as a band-aid solution to keep the GDP up while our country crumbles internally. Certainly, political measures like raising the child tax credit and the new “Trump accounts” for newborn infants can certainly provide economic relief to American families. But unfortunately, there is no surefire political policy to ensure America’s birth rate increases back to replacement levels.
But before we can solve this problem, our country’s political and ruling class must recognize that there is a demographic crisis harming the United States. But only time will tell if we can reverse course and stop the continued decline in America’s birth rate.